Saturday, 7 December 2019

The Tories Know That Drunks, Druggies and Losers Are Not the Working Class

Do you remember Raquel Finn, interviewed by the BBC, who only had 14p to her name? Needless to say, the great and good immediately began to wail about this heartless Tory government and promptly dipped into a crowdfunded appeal for the charmer.

Before you contribute, just read this:

The authoress of that angry piece is Kerry Louise Finn, the sister of Miss Raquel 14P. As you can see it puts a whole new perspective onto the story. Click this link and read the original Facebook post by Kerry Louise and you will see that she is not the only family member or friend who is outraged at the way that a woman who is both a dipso and a druggie is being pandered to by the liberal middle-class whilst they are left to shift for themselves.

Go to any council estate and the bulk of the people are pretty much the same as they have always been: decent, working-class souls who are just trying to live their lives without causing grief to anyone. Many of them have fallen victims to the economic changes that have occurred over the past few years. For instance, I had a neighbour, Colin, who worked all his life as a coach driver. Colin lost his job a few years back due to a reorganisation, and cannot find another one as he is not very literate. Expecting him to go online to apply for pretty much any job is out of the question and the days when he could wander along to a bus depot and speak to the inspector of buses are long gone.

So, there is a great deal of sympathy for the Colins of this world, but none whatsoever for the dipsos, druggies and losers who far too many middle-class types equate with the working-class as a whole.

The Tories seem to understand this, but sadly today's Labour Party doesn't. Until Labour gets it through its collective head that the drunken, druggie losers are a small minority who are detested by the rest of the population then it will fail to recover the votes of untold millions of working-class people.

Thus the forward march of Conservatism into what were once Labour heartlands will continue.

Friday, 6 December 2019

As the Brexit Party Collapses, the Road for Boris Opens

Yesterday, three Brexit Party MEP's resigned the whip the be quickly joined by a fourth who had lost it the day before. Together they sent an open letter to Nigel Farage, telling him that it was his party, The Brexit Party, that now stands in the way of Britain and Brexit. They then urged voters to back Boris to get Brexit done.

Whether Farage will listen or not remains to be seen, but what is becoming clearer is that ordinary people are putting aside their understandably atavistic loathing for the Conservatives and will, like me, vote Tory on Thursday. As far as we are concerned, all other issues are secondary to Brexit, which is the only issue in our minds.

In 2016 we voted to leave the European Union and thanks to Labour MPs in Brexit voting areas we have not left the EU. We were told that the government would implement whatever decision we made and the government was not able to implement anything like our decision because a majority of Westminster MPs put loyalty to Brussels before whatever loyalty that had to Britain. We really don't care whether those MPs were Labour federasts or Tory headbangers: we voted to leave the EU, we have not left the EU, so some Westminster fuckers are going to have to suffer.

How can we trust Labour with it goodie bag of policies to deliver any of them if the party cannot deliver on Brexit, the most basic matter that so many people in the country voted for?

Thursday, 5 December 2019

This General Election Is in Danger of Ending With a Whimper, Not a Bang

Exactly a week from now the polls will be open and the British people will have their opportunity to vote for a candidate who stands for Britain, and British independence, or any number of candidates who prefer it that the country remains a province of Brussels. The country should be in a state of flux as people argue the case for or against Brussels and its status quo with the candidates and each other.

Except that is not happening. Nothing seems to be happening ever since YouGov produced a major poll for the Times of the type that had correctly predicted the last general election in 2017. Last week's poll put the Tories on target to win 369 seats, Labour to get 211 and the Lib-Dems 13. Even with the SNP grabbing 45 seats there would be no way on those figures for the opposition to cobble together and anti-Brexit chaotic coalition as Boris would be home, dry and with a good majority.

Labour realised that it was in grave danger of losing seats in its Northern and Midlands heartlands as Brexit voters switched to the Conservatives, not The Brexit Party, which Labour had fondly imagined would happen. So Labour adopted a defensive strategy and threw resources into defending the seats that it already held rather than taking them for granted and trying to win new ones. The Lib-Dems did the same, with even more urgency as they woke up to realise that they could lose Jo Swinson's seat in Scotland. Losing a couple of backbenchers is one thing, but seeing your leader go down the electoral pan is quite another.

The Tories then seemed to have decided that they will concentrate on their target seats and accept a smallish majority. This is a high-risk game as Labour lead the Tories by quite a large margin in London where the Tories have 21 seats at stake. If Tory gains in the rest of the country are not as good as the party expects and if Labour makes inroads in London then we could be back to a tiny majority for Boris or even no majority at all.

For the Brexiteers this is not actually as bad as it sounds. The law is clear that we leave the EU on 31st January 2020 unless the government pleads for another extension. If Boris has no majority to speak of but can hold his nerve, then we can crash out at the end of January and he can blame any disruption on the opposition and demand that they then start to support his emergency summits with EU leaders to calm down the troubled waters. 

Once we are out, we are out and there is no going back other than to apply to Brussels to join as a new member. That is a long and complicated process and one that no Tory government would even consider. If Labour did then they would certainly run the risk of losing seats in the Brexit supporting parts of the country and the Lid-Dems are probably going to have to elect a new leader for what remains of their party.

That said, I would prefer it that we left with the withdrawal agreement that Boris negotiated just a few weeks ago and had a period of rest and relaxation as the government negotiates a final settlement with the EU. For that to happen, Boris needs to be returned with at least 330 seats and the closer it gets to 350 the happier and more relaxed I will be. If we are unhappy with the final agreement then a government with a small majority can be easily voted out at the next general election, so let's hope that Boris gets around the 330-350 mark.

For that to happen, the Tories need to up their game in the final week of campaigning to enthuse the Brexiteers to turn out mob-handed to ensure that we leave the EU, with minimal disruption, next month.

Tuesday, 3 December 2019

If the Tories Really Want to Win, Why Are They Standing Such Poor Candidates?

Don't mind me as I could just be having a private wobble at the moment, but I have to ask the question, just how serious are the Tories about winning this damned election? I ask because to win the Tories need to take a goodly number of Labour seats and looking at the campaign overall in many of them they do not seem to be putting in all that much effort.

Let's take Bradford South to begin with. According to Electoral Calculus, this seat should swing Tory based on the result of the 2016 referendum, but Richard North, a Brexiteer of long-standing does not think that it will. According to him:

But with the real give-away is that the Tories are not even trying to win the seat. They've parachuted in the son of a millionaire Indian property developer, a man who has no economic ties with the constituency, doesn't live in the area and has not even bothered to campaign. So far, in the entire period, we've had one leaflet and an electoral address from Labour, and that's it. None of the other parties has bothered to leaflet us. 
Of course, the fact that around 12% of the vote in Bradford South is made of Pakistanis who are hardly likely to vote for a Sikh, whether he can be bothered campaigning or not doesn't help matters. That simple fact forces me to ask the question why the Tories chose to stand a candidate that a big chunk of the electorate will not support under pretty much any circumstances if they were serious about winning the seat?

Let's move over to Bolsover, the Lair of Dennis Skinner, the Breast of Bolsover, who has seen his majority reduced over the past few elections to a fairly close 5,000 or so in 2017.

Dennis is now 87 years old and unable to campaign owing to hip replacement surgery just last month. That more than anything should give the Tories a boost as it reminds people of just how old Dennis Skinner now is and how unlikely it will be that he will be able to finish a full five-year term as Bolsover's MP.

The Tories seem to be incapable of grasping that working-class people in places like Bolsover are social conservatives who believe in state-directed, collective answers to the economic issues facing the country.

They also seem to be unable to understand that historically they did well when they stood candidates who were ample-bottomed local worthies who were well-known in their areas and had agreeable wives who could run the constituency office when the MP was in London. Such candidates would use the saloon bars of every pub in the area and make speeches how much better it was for England to be drunk than England enslaved. Oh, and they supported what started off as Imperial Preference, and then morphed into basic protectionism after the Second World War.

Seats like Bolsover and Bradford South could very well return Tory MPs next week, but it would be much better for the Tories if they had chosen candidates who could appeal to the local population on cultural grounds at least, rather than rely on the people's visceral dislike of the modern Labour Party.

Sunday, 1 December 2019

What You Can Do to Help Boris and Brexit

As we enter December, polling day becomes something that will happen next week and it is the time in the election cycle when the bulk of the population wake up to the fact that they can no longer ignore all that background noise about politics as it is decision time.

A poll published in the Times by YouGov seemed to give comfort to the Tories as it predicted that they would have a good majority. Alas for them it seems to have given aid and comfort to the opposition parties who have obviously dug through the data and realised that disaster can be averted if they change some of their policies, sharpish.

First to do so were the Liberal-Democrats who dropped their policy of unilaterally revoking Article 50 in favour of giving the losers in 2016 another bite at the cherry. This Losers' Vote idea has been Labour policy for some time, and by accepting it the Lib-Dems have conceded that they are not going to win the election. They now hope to hold onto a many of their 2017 gains as possible, grab a few seats from the Tories in those parts of the leafy South where Brussels' Loyalism is strongest and hope for the best.

Labour for its part seems to have stopped its offensive campaign to gain seats from the Tories in favour of a purely defensive strategy to stop the Tories making major inroads in the English North and Midlands.

In theory, all this should mean that the Tories can continue to cruise on easy steam towards an easy victory next week. However, what has happened is that their lead over Labour has been reduced as Lib-Dem voters decide to dump their first choice in favour of Labour, the party that is more likely to halt the Tory juggernaut. 

It is highly unlikely that Labour can win the election, but it is now possible that the Tories could lose it by not getting an overall majority of seats. If that happens we will be back to the nonsense and buffoonery that typified the last Parliament, and Brexit itself could be under threat if Labour, Lib-Dem and even the SNP can put together a clunky coalition. The only way to avoid that is for the Tories to fire up their boilers to full steam and then turn their ferociously efficient election machine loose against their opponents.

Dominic Cummings was first out of the traps when he told people that the election was closer than it looked - a point he made before the polls confirmed that trend. He made the point that if a losers' coalition can be cobbled together, the franchise will be extended to include all the EU nationals who are currently blessing our country with their presence so as to rig the referendum that will then follow. 

I believe him, and for that reason, I urge all good Brexiteers to put aside your dislike of the Tories and vote for Boris next week. Not only that but please tell the blokes you go drinking with or the women you chat with at the shops to do the same. It is time for all Brexiteers to become canvassers for Brexit.

We can win this thing if we vote and if we make sure that as many of our family and friends also vote for Boris and Brexit.
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